Rosario Central 0-1 San Lorenzo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.12
Draw
31%
2.7
Away
29%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
1.26
Over 2.5
30%
3.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
2.75
No
66%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
45%
1.67
2-3 Goals
36%
2.0
4-5 Goals
13%
9.56
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.28
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
17.3
X/1
8%
4.09
X/2
10%
6.9
X/X
19%
2.86
2/1
17%
34.5
2/2
14%
6.7
2/X
7%
17.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
43%
-3.6pp
31%
Draw
33%
-2.0pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+5.6pp
70%
Under 2.5
76%
-5.5pp
30%
Over 2.5
24%
+5.5pp
34%
BTTS Yes
32%
+1.8pp
66%
BTTS No
68%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rosario Central EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY San Lorenzo EU Bookmakers 27%
+3% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +2%
1.32/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/0.97
+16% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +44%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
361 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 219 · 70%
20.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.8
24.3 Crosses 15.3
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rosario Central
3W-1D-2L
AWAY San Lorenzo
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.36 xG 1.07
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
305 Passes 280
77% Pass Accuracy 75%
18 Box Touches 16
19 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
01.07.2023 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 1-0 HT 0-0 Rosario Central Rosario Central ARJ
27.08.2022 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 1-1 HT 0-0 Rosario Central Rosario Central ARJ
21.09.2021 Rosario Central Rosario Central 1-0 HT 0-0 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo ARJ
13.05.2021 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 1-2 HT 1-0 Rosario Central Rosario Central CON CSA
29.04.2021 Rosario Central Rosario Central 2-0 HT 1-0 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo CON CSA
03.04.2021 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 2-0 HT 1-0 Rosario Central Rosario Central ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rosario Central
0-1
AWAY San Lorenzo
61% Ball Possession 39%
12 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
300 Passes 159
80% Pass Accuracy 64%
POST-MATCH Rosario Central vs San Lorenzo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Lorenzo nicked a narrow win over Rosario Central 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 31% / 29% — and on the day San Lorenzo made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (70%), no to both teams scoring (66%) came in.

On the day, Rosario Central had 61% of the ball to San Lorenzo's 39%, shots finished 12-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rosario Central had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Rosario Central and 0.83 for San Lorenzo.

What was the final score of Rosario Central vs San Lorenzo?

Rosario Central 0-1 San Lorenzo in the Argentina - Premier League on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rosario Central vs San Lorenzo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rosario Central win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Rosario Central 40%, draw 31%, San Lorenzo 29%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Rosario Central) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rosario Central) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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