River Plate 3-0 Barracas Central — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒23:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.22
Draw
22%
5.28
Away
20%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.03
Over 2.5
47%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.67
No
60%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.83
2-3 Goals
41%
1.83
4-5 Goals
18%
3.2
6+ Goals
9%
10.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.83 — our 32% vs market 21.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1.37
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
5%
32.5
X/1
24%
3.16
X/2
5%
31.0
X/X
12%
7.79
2/1
6%
30.5
2/2
10%
28.0
2/X
5%
33.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
78%
-19.1pp
22%
Draw
16%
+6.3pp
19%
Away Win
7%
+12.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
45%
+7.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
55%
-7.8pp
40%
BTTS Yes
33%
+6.8pp
60%
BTTS No
67%
-6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME River Plate EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Barracas Central EU Bookmakers 9%
-10% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +22%
2.04/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/1.42
+7% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +13%
65% Ball Possession 35%
16 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
479 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 215 · 67%
32.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.0
23.9 Crosses 15.3
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME River Plate
4W-0D-1L
AWAY Barracas Central
2.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
1.76 xG 1.00
65% Ball Possession 35%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
415 Passes 170
80% Pass Accuracy 62%
26 Box Touches 15
19 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.02.2024 Barracas Central Barracas Central 0-2 HT 0-0 River Plate River Plate ARJ
28.08.2023 River Plate River Plate 5-1 HT 1-1 Barracas Central Barracas Central ARJ
01.07.2023 Barracas Central Barracas Central 2-1 HT 1-0 River Plate River Plate ARJ
05.09.2022 River Plate River Plate 2-0 HT 1-0 Barracas Central Barracas Central ARJ
14.07.2022 Barracas Central Barracas Central 0-3 HT 0-1 River Plate River Plate ARJK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME River Plate
3-0
AWAY Barracas Central
3.94 xG 0.23
73% Ball Possession 27%
34 Total Shots 3
15 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 3
488 Passes 138
87% Pass Accuracy 67%
65 Box Touches 7
29 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH River Plate vs Barracas Central
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

River Plate swept aside Barracas Central 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had River Plate as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, River Plate had 73% of the ball to Barracas Central's 27%, shots finished 34-3, expected goals 3.94 to 0.23.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, River Plate had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.60 goals for River Plate and 0.60 for Barracas Central.

What was the final score of River Plate vs Barracas Central?

River Plate 3-0 Barracas Central in the Argentina - Premier League on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for River Plate vs Barracas Central?

Before kick-off our model rated a River Plate win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split River Plate 58%, draw 22%, Barracas Central 19%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (River Plate), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (River Plate) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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