Perth Glory (K) 3-2 Newcastle Jets (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 10 Nov 2024

Perth Glory (K)
3-2 HT 1-1
Newcastle Jets (K)
📅10/11/2024 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Australia - W-League – 2024/2025

Perth Glory (K) vs Newcastle Jets (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.17
Draw
20%
3.64
Away
51%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.21
Over 2.5
62%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.55
No
44%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
32%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
28%
+0.3pp
20%
Draw
24%
-4.3pp
51%
Away Win
47%
+4.0pp
38%
Under 2.5
41%
-3.0pp
62%
Over 2.5
59%
+3.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.4pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Perth Glory (K) v Newcastle Jets (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Perth Glory (K) EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Newcastle Jets (K) EU Bookmakers 51%
-26% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +34% / +34%
0.73/2.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.43/1.37
-66% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / –
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
305 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 79%
18.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.0
13.6 Crosses 20.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0

Perth Glory (K) vs Newcastle Jets (K) Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Perth Glory (K)
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Newcastle Jets (K)
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
1.36 xG 2.08
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
274 Passes 290
70% Pass Accuracy 72%
19 Box Touches 30
18 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
03.03.2024 Newcastle Jets (K) Newcastle Jets (K) 1-1 HT 0-1 Perth Glory (K) Perth Glory (K) AVUSTW
22.10.2023 Perth Glory (K) Perth Glory (K) 1-0 Newcastle Jets (K) Newcastle Jets (K) AVUSTW
07.12.2019 Perth Glory (K) Perth Glory (K) 1-2 HT 0-1 Newcastle Jets (K) Newcastle Jets (K) AVUSTW
12.01.2019 Newcastle Jets (K) Newcastle Jets (K) 3-1 HT 0-1 Perth Glory (K) Perth Glory (K) AVUSTW
15.12.2018 Perth Glory (K) Perth Glory (K) 2-2 HT 2-2 Newcastle Jets (K) Newcastle Jets (K) AVUSTW

Perth Glory (K) 3-2 Newcastle Jets (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Perth Glory (K)
3-2
AWAY Newcastle Jets (K)
1.44 xG 1.15
33% Ball Possession 67%
18 Total Shots 19
7 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 8
137 Passes 355
59% Pass Accuracy 78%
8 Box Touches 28
7 Crosses 28
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Perth Glory (K) vs Newcastle Jets (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Perth Glory (K) squeezed past Newcastle Jets (K) 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Newcastle Jets (K) at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Perth Glory (K) had 33% of the ball to Newcastle Jets (K)'s 67%, shots finished 18-19, expected goals 1.44 to 1.15.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Newcastle Jets (K) led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Perth Glory (K) and 1.60 for Newcastle Jets (K).

What was the final score of Perth Glory (K) vs Newcastle Jets (K)?

Perth Glory (K) 3-2 Newcastle Jets (K) in the Australia - W-League on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Perth Glory (K) vs Newcastle Jets (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Newcastle Jets (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Perth Glory (K) 29%, draw 20%, Newcastle Jets (K) 51%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Newcastle Jets (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Newcastle Jets (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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