Ostrovets FC 1-2 Dnepr Rogachev — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - 1st Division, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
5.91
Draw
23%
4.62
Away
60%
1.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
Over 2.5
55%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
No
48%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
4%
X/2
18%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
36%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
14%
+3.7pp
23%
Draw
18%
+4.2pp
60%
Away Win
68%
-7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ostrovets FC EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Dnepr Rogachev EU Bookmakers 72%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -25% / -25%
1.45/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.78/1.42
+33% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -32%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
171 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 393 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ostrovets FC
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Dnepr Rogachev
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 3.67
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.07.2024 Dnepr Rogachev Dnepr Rogachev 3-1 HT 1-1 Ostrovets FC Ostrovets FC BLR1
19.08.2023 Ostrovets FC Ostrovets FC 2-5 HT 0-3 Dnepr Rogachev Dnepr Rogachev BLR1
14.04.2023 Dnepr Rogachev Dnepr Rogachev 3-1 HT 0-0 Ostrovets FC Ostrovets FC BLR1
POST-MATCH Ostrovets FC vs Dnepr Rogachev
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dnepr Rogachev edged past Ostrovets FC 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Dnepr Rogachev as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Dnepr Rogachev led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Ostrovets FC and 3.67 for Dnepr Rogachev.

What was the final score of Ostrovets FC vs Dnepr Rogachev?

Ostrovets FC 1-2 Dnepr Rogachev in the Belarus - 1st Division on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ostrovets FC vs Dnepr Rogachev?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dnepr Rogachev win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Ostrovets FC 18%, draw 23%, Dnepr Rogachev 60%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dnepr Rogachev), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dnepr Rogachev) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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