Zeljeznicar 2-1 Velez Mostar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.92
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
26%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.52
Over 2.5
42%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.13
No
56%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
48%
-1.2pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.9pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
43%
+1.2pp
56%
BTTS No
57%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zeljeznicar EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Velez Mostar EU Bookmakers 28%
+1% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -1%
1.29/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/0.94
-12% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +33%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
233 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zeljeznicar
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Velez Mostar
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
56% Ball Possession 44%
8 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.08.2024 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar 1-2 HT 0-0 Zeljeznicar Zeljeznicar BOSN
29.03.2024 Zeljeznicar Zeljeznicar 0-1 HT 0-0 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar BOSN
08.12.2023 Zeljeznicar Zeljeznicar 0-1 HT 0-0 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar BOSN
03.09.2023 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar 1-0 HT 0-0 Zeljeznicar Zeljeznicar BOSN
07.05.2023 Zeljeznicar Zeljeznicar 2-1 HT 1-0 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar BOSN
19.04.2023 Zeljeznicar Zeljeznicar 1-2 HT 1-1 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar BOSK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zeljeznicar
2-1
AWAY Velez Mostar
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Zeljeznicar vs Velez Mostar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zeljeznicar squeezed past Velez Mostar 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Zeljeznicar as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Zeljeznicar had 53% of the ball to Velez Mostar's 47%, shots finished 12-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Velez Mostar led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Zeljeznicar and 1.17 for Velez Mostar.

What was the final score of Zeljeznicar vs Velez Mostar?

Zeljeznicar 2-1 Velez Mostar in the Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zeljeznicar vs Velez Mostar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zeljeznicar win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Zeljeznicar 47%, draw 27%, Velez Mostar 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zeljeznicar) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zeljeznicar) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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BOSN More Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League
10 Nov 2024
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