Avarta 2-1 Holstebro BK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 3rd Division, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.05
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
40%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.03
Over 2.5
58%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.63
No
41%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
45%
-9.9pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.2pp
40%
Away Win
31%
+9.7pp
42%
Under 2.5
45%
-3.5pp
58%
Over 2.5
55%
+3.5pp
59%
BTTS Yes
57%
+1.6pp
41%
BTTS No
43%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Avarta EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Holstebro BK EU Bookmakers 34%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.42/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/2.12
-22% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / -30%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
232 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Avarta
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Holstebro BK
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
31.08.2024 Holstebro BK Holstebro BK 0-1 HT 0-0 Avarta Avarta DAN3
21.10.2023 Holstebro BK Holstebro BK 1-1 HT 0-1 Avarta Avarta DAN3
13.08.2023 Avarta Avarta 0-3 HT 0-1 Holstebro BK Holstebro BK DAN3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Avarta
2-1
AWAY Holstebro BK
62% Ball Possession 38%
12 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Avarta vs Holstebro BK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Avarta edged past Holstebro BK 2-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 24% / 40% — and on the day Avarta made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, Avarta had 62% of the ball to Holstebro BK's 38%, shots finished 12-4.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Avarta and 1.33 for Holstebro BK.

What was the final score of Avarta vs Holstebro BK?

Avarta 2-1 Holstebro BK in the Denmark - 3rd Division on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Avarta vs Holstebro BK?

Before kick-off our model rated an Holstebro BK win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Avarta 35%, draw 24%, Holstebro BK 40%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Holstebro BK) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Holstebro BK) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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