Holstebro BK 0-1 Avarta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 3rd Division, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.75
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
31%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.8
Over 2.5
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.88
No
54%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
53%
-7.0pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.1pp
31%
Away Win
24%
+7.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.6pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Holstebro BK EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Avarta EU Bookmakers 27%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
1.86/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/0.92
+2% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +83%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
323 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Holstebro BK
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Avarta
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.10.2023 Holstebro BK Holstebro BK 1-1 HT 0-1 Avarta Avarta DAN3
13.08.2023 Avarta Avarta 0-3 HT 0-1 Holstebro BK Holstebro BK DAN3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Holstebro BK
0-1
AWAY Avarta
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Holstebro BK vs Avarta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Avarta edged past Holstebro BK 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Holstebro BK at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Holstebro BK had 49% of the ball to Avarta's 51%, shots finished 10-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Holstebro BK had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Holstebro BK and 0.50 for Avarta.

What was the final score of Holstebro BK vs Avarta?

Holstebro BK 0-1 Avarta in the Denmark - 3rd Division on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Holstebro BK vs Avarta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Holstebro BK win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Holstebro BK 46%, draw 23%, Avarta 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Holstebro BK) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Holstebro BK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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