Odder 1-4 Naesby — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 3rd Division, 31 Aug 2024

Odder
1-4 HT 0-2
Naesby
📅31/08/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Denmark - 3rd Division – 2024/2025

Odder vs Naesby Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
41%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.23
Over 2.5
50%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.49
No
48%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
19%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
34%
+2.3pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.2pp
41%
Away Win
41%
-0.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+9.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-9.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
63%
-11.3pp
48%
BTTS No
37%
+11.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Odder v Naesby — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Odder EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Naesby EU Bookmakers 45%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.17/1.16
-32% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / +20%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
289 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 2.6

Odder vs Naesby Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Odder
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Naesby
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
The Meetings
23.05.2015 Odder Odder 3-3 HT 1-1 Naesby Naesby DAN2
25.10.2014 Naesby Naesby 1-1 HT 0-1 Odder Odder DAN2
POST-MATCH Odder vs Naesby
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Naesby cruised past Odder 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 23% / 41% — and on the day Naesby made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Odder and 2.00 for Naesby.

What was the final score of Odder vs Naesby?

Odder 1-4 Naesby in the Denmark - 3rd Division on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Odder vs Naesby?

Before kick-off our model rated an Naesby win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Odder 36%, draw 23%, Naesby 41%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Naesby), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Naesby) ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
DAN3 More Denmark - 3rd Division
31 Aug 2024
14:00 Holbaek vs Brabrand Analysis →
14:15 Lyseng vs Sundby Analysis →
15:00 Bronshoj BK vs FA 2000 Analysis →
15:00 Holstebro BK vs Avarta Analysis →