El Nacional vs Libertad Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
El Nacional v Libertad — Team-Based Signals
El Nacional vs Libertad Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
El Nacional
EKV1
4-2
HT 2-2
Libertad
EKV1
4-2
HT 2-1
Libertad
EKV2
1-1
HT 1-1
El Nacional
EKV2
1-0
HT 0-0
El Nacional
EKV2
El Nacional 1-4 Libertad — Actual Match Statistics
Libertad ran out comfortable winners over El Nacional 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was El Nacional at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, El Nacional had 61% of the ball to Libertad's 39%, shots finished 16-19, expected goals 0.89 to 1.33.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, El Nacional had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for El Nacional and 1.00 for Libertad.
What was the final score of El Nacional vs Libertad?
El Nacional 1-4 Libertad in the Ecuador - Premier on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for El Nacional vs Libertad?
Before kick-off our model rated a El Nacional win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split El Nacional 48%, draw 28%, Libertad 25%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (El Nacional), Under 2.5 went the other way.