Marumo Gallants 0-2 Mamelodi Sundowns — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - League Cup, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
5.09
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
55%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.91
Over 2.5
40%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
1.9
No
62%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.49
2-3 Goals
45%
1.8
4-5 Goals
16%
3.42
6+ Goals
6%
12.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.49 — our 33% vs market 23.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
26%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
26%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
16%
+4.3pp
24%
Draw
22%
+2.1pp
55%
Away Win
61%
-6.4pp
60%
Under 2.5
48%
+11.6pp
40%
Over 2.5
52%
-11.6pp
38%
BTTS Yes
49%
-10.7pp
62%
BTTS No
51%
+10.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marumo Gallants EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Mamelodi Sundowns EU Bookmakers 66%
+60% / +60% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/2.00
+74% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) / -100%
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
324 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Marumo Gallants
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Mamelodi Sundowns
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.28 xG 1.96
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 3
298 Passes 457
80% Pass Accuracy 85%
17 Box Touches 24
17 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
24.09.2024 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns 4-1 HT 2-0 Marumo Gallants Marumo Gallants GAFPSL
06.05.2023 Marumo Gallants Marumo Gallants 0-2 HT 0-1 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns GAFPSL
02.03.2023 Marumo Gallants Marumo Gallants 1-3 HT 1-2 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns GAF8K
19.10.2022 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns 1-0 HT 1-0 Marumo Gallants Marumo Gallants GAFPSL
28.05.2022 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns 2-1 HT 1-0 Marumo Gallants Marumo Gallants GAF8K
23.12.2021 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns 1-1 HT 1-1 Marumo Gallants Marumo Gallants GAFPSL
POST-MATCH Marumo Gallants vs Mamelodi Sundowns
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mamelodi Sundowns saw off Marumo Gallants 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Mamelodi Sundowns as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mamelodi Sundowns led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Marumo Gallants and 2.17 for Mamelodi Sundowns.

What was the final score of Marumo Gallants vs Mamelodi Sundowns?

Marumo Gallants 0-2 Mamelodi Sundowns in the South Afrika - League Cup on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marumo Gallants vs Mamelodi Sundowns?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mamelodi Sundowns win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Marumo Gallants 21%, draw 24%, Mamelodi Sundowns 55%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mamelodi Sundowns), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Mamelodi Sundowns) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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