Mamelodi Sundowns 4-1 Marumo Gallants — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Premier League, 24 Sep 2024

📅24/09/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.29
Draw
25%
4.81
Away
17%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.71
Over 2.5
48%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.95
No
56%
1.35
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.81
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
4.16
6+ Goals
9%
20.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
5%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
74%
-16.0pp
25%
Draw
18%
+6.6pp
17%
Away Win
7%
+9.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
55%
-3.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
45%
+3.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
30%
+14.4pp
56%
BTTS No
70%
-14.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mamelodi Sundowns EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Marumo Gallants EU Bookmakers 9%
+2% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.46/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.28
+24% / +49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +52%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
391 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 76%
26.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.9
14.5 Crosses 13.5
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mamelodi Sundowns
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Marumo Gallants
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
2.19 xG 1.02
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
451 Passes 280
84% Pass Accuracy 77%
27 Box Touches 14
15 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
06.05.2023 Marumo Gallants Marumo Gallants 0-2 HT 0-1 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns GAFPSL
02.03.2023 Marumo Gallants Marumo Gallants 1-3 HT 1-2 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns GAF8K
19.10.2022 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns 1-0 HT 1-0 Marumo Gallants Marumo Gallants GAFPSL
28.05.2022 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns 2-1 HT 1-0 Marumo Gallants Marumo Gallants GAF8K
23.12.2021 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns 1-1 HT 1-1 Marumo Gallants Marumo Gallants GAFPSL
07.11.2021 Marumo Gallants Marumo Gallants 0-4 HT 0-1 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns GAFPSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mamelodi Sundowns
4-1
AWAY Marumo Gallants
2.13 xG 2.26
61% Ball Possession 39%
11 Total Shots 14
9 Shots on Target 6
0 Corners 7
504 Passes 280
87% Pass Accuracy 85%
20 Box Touches 22
10 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mamelodi Sundowns vs Marumo Gallants
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mamelodi Sundowns cruised past Marumo Gallants 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Mamelodi Sundowns as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Mamelodi Sundowns had 61% of the ball to Marumo Gallants's 39%, shots finished 11-14, expected goals 2.13 to 2.26.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mamelodi Sundowns had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Mamelodi Sundowns and 0.50 for Marumo Gallants.

What was the final score of Mamelodi Sundowns vs Marumo Gallants?

Mamelodi Sundowns 4-1 Marumo Gallants in the South Afrika - Premier League on 24/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mamelodi Sundowns vs Marumo Gallants?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mamelodi Sundowns win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Mamelodi Sundowns 58%, draw 25%, Marumo Gallants 17%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mamelodi Sundowns) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mamelodi Sundowns) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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