Orlando Pirates 3-0 Polokwane City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Premier League, 24 Sep 2024

📅24/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.61
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
21%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.54
Over 2.5
39%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.33
No
57%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.36
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
5.11
6+ Goals
7%
31.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
16%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
58%
-7.5pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.7pp
21%
Away Win
16%
+4.7pp
61%
Under 2.5
61%
-0.5pp
39%
Over 2.5
39%
+0.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
39%
+4.3pp
57%
BTTS No
61%
-4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Orlando Pirates EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Polokwane City EU Bookmakers 19%
+5% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -15%
1.74/0.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/0.88
+3% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -22%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
416 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 74%
24.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.3
18.6 Crosses 21.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Orlando Pirates
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Polokwane City
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.02 xG 0.64
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
391 Passes 152
80% Pass Accuracy 61%
24 Box Touches 6
24 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 1
02.03.2024 Polokwane City Polokwane City 0-1 HT 0-0 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates GAFPSL
27.10.2023 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates 1-1 HT 1-0 Polokwane City Polokwane City GAFPSL
07.01.2020 Polokwane City Polokwane City 1-4 HT 0-4 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates GAFPSL
26.11.2019 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates 3-2 HT 1-1 Polokwane City Polokwane City GAFPSL
28.02.2015 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates 3-1 HT 3-0 Polokwane City Polokwane City GAFPSL
05.10.2014 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates 2-1 HT 1-1 Polokwane City Polokwane City GAFLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Orlando Pirates
3-0
AWAY Polokwane City
1.42 xG 0.43
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 1
365 Passes 234
86% Pass Accuracy 77%
21 Box Touches 4
7 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Orlando Pirates vs Polokwane City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Orlando Pirates cruised past Polokwane City 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Orlando Pirates as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (57%) landed while under 2.5 goals (61%) missed.

On the day, Orlando Pirates had 58% of the ball to Polokwane City's 42%, shots finished 12-5, expected goals 1.42 to 0.43.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Orlando Pirates had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Orlando Pirates and 1.00 for Polokwane City.

What was the final score of Orlando Pirates vs Polokwane City?

Orlando Pirates 3-0 Polokwane City in the South Afrika - Premier League on 24/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orlando Pirates vs Polokwane City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Orlando Pirates win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Orlando Pirates 51%, draw 29%, Polokwane City 21%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Orlando Pirates), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Orlando Pirates) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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