The New Saints 2-1 Haverfordwest County — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 10 Nov 2024

The New Saints
2-1 HT 1-1
Haverfordwest County
📅10/11/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 4-0 ✗ 2nd Score 3-0 ✗
Wales - Premier League – 2024/2025

The New Saints vs Haverfordwest County Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.27
Draw
21%
5.15
Away
17%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.0
Over 2.5
57%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.44
No
52%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.69
2-3 Goals
37%
1.81
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
30%
3.28
6+ Goals
12%
11.7
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.28 — our 30% vs market 25.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
5%
X/X
6%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
75%
-12.3pp
21%
Draw
17%
+4.2pp
17%
Away Win
9%
+8.1pp
43%
Under 2.5
46%
-3.0pp
57%
Over 2.5
54%
+3.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
37%
+11.0pp
52%
BTTS No
63%
-11.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

The New Saints v Haverfordwest County — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME The New Saints EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Haverfordwest County EU Bookmakers 11%
-5% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +14%
3.41/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/2.12
+43% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +19%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
478 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
0.9 Yellow Cards 2.5

The New Saints vs Haverfordwest County Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME The New Saints
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Haverfordwest County
3.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
07.09.2024 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County 0-1 HT 0-1 The New Saints The New Saints GAL
23.12.2023 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County 0-1 HT 0-0 The New Saints The New Saints GAL
16.09.2023 The New Saints The New Saints 5-1 HT 1-0 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County GAL
07.01.2023 The New Saints The New Saints 3-1 HT 2-0 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County GAL
29.10.2022 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County 1-3 HT 0-2 The New Saints The New Saints GAL
06.11.2021 The New Saints The New Saints 6-0 HT 3-0 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County GAL

The New Saints 2-1 Haverfordwest County — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME The New Saints
2-1
AWAY Haverfordwest County
61% Ball Possession 39%
12 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH The New Saints vs Haverfordwest County
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

The New Saints squeezed past Haverfordwest County 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had The New Saints as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, The New Saints had 61% of the ball to Haverfordwest County's 39%, shots finished 12-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, The New Saints had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 3.17 goals for The New Saints and 0.50 for Haverfordwest County.

What was the final score of The New Saints vs Haverfordwest County?

The New Saints 2-1 Haverfordwest County in the Wales - Premier League on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for The New Saints vs Haverfordwest County?

Before kick-off our model rated a The New Saints win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split The New Saints 62%, draw 21%, Haverfordwest County 17%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (The New Saints), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (The New Saints) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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