Samgurali vs Gagra Prediction — Model Probabilities
Samgurali v Gagra — Team-Based Signals
Samgurali vs Gagra Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Samgurali 4-2 Gagra — Actual Match Statistics
Samgurali saw off Gagra 4-2. The 1-2 half-time score told a different story — this one turned on its head late. A 6-goal game — the defences never settled.
The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Samgurali as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.
Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 52% and both teams to score at 53%.
By the numbers, possession split 58% to 42% in Samgurali's favour, shots finished 13-8.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Samgurali had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.67 a game for Samgurali against 0.50 for Gagra.
Samgurali vs Gagra Result & Final Score
Samgurali 4 - 2 Gagra in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Samgurali vs Gagra Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Samgurali win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Samgurali 57%, draw 23%, Gagra 20%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Samgurali), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.