Samgurali 4-2 Gagra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.72
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
26%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.97
Over 2.5
50%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.75
No
53%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
6%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
54%
-4.6pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.7pp
27%
Away Win
21%
+5.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
47%
+2.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
53%
-2.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.3pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Samgurali EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Gagra EU Bookmakers 24%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -27%
1.39/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/2.18
-26% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -27%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
372 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Samgurali
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Gagra
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
01.09.2024 Gagra Gagra 1-3 HT 1-1 Samgurali Samgurali GUR
14.05.2024 Samgurali Samgurali 2-0 HT 2-0 Gagra Gagra GUR
30.03.2024 Gagra Gagra 0-0 HT 0-0 Samgurali Samgurali GUR
02.10.2023 Samgurali Samgurali 2-2 HT 0-1 Gagra Gagra GUR
05.08.2023 Gagra Gagra 0-0 HT 0-0 Samgurali Samgurali GUR
22.07.2023 Samgurali Samgurali 3-0 HT 0-0 Gagra Gagra GURCK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Samgurali
4-2
AWAY Gagra
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
FAQ Samgurali vs Gagra
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Samgurali beat Gagra 4-2 in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 10 Nov 2024. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Samgurali had 58% of the ball to Gagra's 42%, shots finished 13-8.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Samgurali have the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Samgurali and 0.50 for Gagra.

What was the final score of Samgurali vs Gagra?

Samgurali 4-2 Gagra in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Samgurali vs Gagra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Samgurali win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Samgurali 50%, draw 24%, Gagra 27%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Samgurali) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Samgurali) ✗ BTTS No
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