Sham Shui Po 1-2 Yuen Long — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.33
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
45%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.59
Over 2.5
62%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.41
No
37%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
6%
X/2
17%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
39%
-6.9pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.0pp
45%
Away Win
38%
+6.9pp
38%
Under 2.5
35%
+3.1pp
62%
Over 2.5
65%
-3.1pp
63%
BTTS Yes
67%
-3.3pp
37%
BTTS No
33%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sham Shui Po EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Yuen Long EU Bookmakers 42%
+43% / +43% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
3.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.93/0.90
+90% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +66%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
257 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 410 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sham Shui Po
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Yuen Long
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
26.09.2021 Yuen Long Yuen Long 0-1 HT 0-1 Sham Shui Po Sham Shui Po HK2
POST-MATCH Sham Shui Po vs Yuen Long
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yuen Long nicked a narrow win over Sham Shui Po 2-1 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Yuen Long as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (63%) came in.

What was the final score of Sham Shui Po vs Yuen Long?

Sham Shui Po 1-2 Yuen Long in the Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sham Shui Po vs Yuen Long?

Before kick-off our model rated an Yuen Long win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Sham Shui Po 32%, draw 23%, Yuen Long 45%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Yuen Long), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Yuen Long) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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