Citizen AA 1-1 Eastern District — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.72
Draw
21%
4.08
Away
40%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.96
Over 2.5
59%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.39
No
44%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
19%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
54%
-15.4pp
21%
Draw
21%
-0.8pp
41%
Away Win
24%
+16.2pp
41%
Under 2.5
30%
+10.7pp
59%
Over 2.5
70%
-10.7pp
56%
BTTS Yes
68%
-12.2pp
44%
BTTS No
32%
+12.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Citizen AA EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Eastern District EU Bookmakers 28%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.52/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.83/2.27
-19% / +71% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -31%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
414 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Citizen AA
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Eastern District
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
12.05.2024 Citizen AA Citizen AA 1-3 HT 0-2 Eastern District Eastern District HK2
22.10.2023 Eastern District Eastern District 2-3 HT 2-0 Citizen AA Citizen AA HK2
05.02.2023 Citizen AA Citizen AA 0-2 HT 0-0 Eastern District Eastern District HK2
23.10.2022 Eastern District Eastern District 1-3 HT 1-0 Citizen AA Citizen AA HK2
POST-MATCH Citizen AA vs Eastern District
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Citizen AA and Eastern District couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 21% / 41%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, both teams to score (56%) landed while over 2.5 goals (59%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Citizen AA and 2.00 for Eastern District.

What was the final score of Citizen AA vs Eastern District?

Citizen AA 1-1 Eastern District in the Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Citizen AA vs Eastern District?

Before kick-off our model rated an Eastern District win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Citizen AA 39%, draw 21%, Eastern District 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Eastern District), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Eastern District) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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