Citizen AA 1-3 Eastern District — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division, 12 May 2024

📅12/05/2024 · 🕒08:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.0
Draw
18%
3.72
Away
38%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.74
Over 2.5
61%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.39
No
45%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-2.4pp
18%
Draw
24%
-5.1pp
38%
Away Win
30%
+7.5pp
39%
Under 2.5
33%
+6.2pp
61%
Over 2.5
67%
-6.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
68%
-13.0pp
45%
BTTS No
32%
+13.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Citizen AA EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Eastern District EU Bookmakers 34%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
1.14/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.79/2.40
-32% / +62% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +66% / -39%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
330 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 385 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Citizen AA
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Eastern District
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 0
22.10.2023 Eastern District Eastern District 2-3 HT 2-0 Citizen AA Citizen AA HK2
05.02.2023 Citizen AA Citizen AA 0-2 HT 0-0 Eastern District Eastern District HK2
23.10.2022 Eastern District Eastern District 1-3 HT 1-0 Citizen AA Citizen AA HK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Citizen AA
1-3
AWAY Eastern District
57% Ball Possession 43%
19 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Citizen AA vs Eastern District
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eastern District got the better of Citizen AA 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Citizen AA at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Citizen AA had 57% of the ball to Eastern District's 43%, shots finished 19-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Citizen AA had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Citizen AA and 1.67 for Eastern District.

What was the final score of Citizen AA vs Eastern District?

Citizen AA 1-3 Eastern District in the Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Citizen AA vs Eastern District?

Before kick-off our model rated a Citizen AA win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Citizen AA 44%, draw 18%, Eastern District 38%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Citizen AA) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Citizen AA) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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