Sai Kung 1-4 Kowloon City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division, 12 May 2024

📅12/05/2024 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
12.23
Draw
14%
7.13
Away
66%
1.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.96
Over 2.5
60%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.13
No
51%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
19%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
4%
X/2
12%
X/X
5%
2/1
4%
2/2
47%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
5%
+14.7pp
14%
Draw
10%
+3.8pp
66%
Away Win
84%
-18.6pp
40%
Under 2.5
30%
+9.9pp
60%
Over 2.5
70%
-9.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
43%
+6.5pp
51%
BTTS No
57%
-6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sai Kung EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Kowloon City EU Bookmakers 90%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
0.39/3.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.49/1.01
-69% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +20%
41% Ball Possession 59%
6 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
261 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 533 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sai Kung
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Kowloon City
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
22.10.2023 Kowloon City Kowloon City 3-1 HT 3-1 Sai Kung Sai Kung HK2
POST-MATCH Sai Kung vs Kowloon City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kowloon City swept aside Sai Kung 4-1 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Kowloon City as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

What was the final score of Sai Kung vs Kowloon City?

Sai Kung 1-4 Kowloon City in the Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sai Kung vs Kowloon City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kowloon City win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Sai Kung 20%, draw 14%, Kowloon City 66%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kowloon City), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kowloon City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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