South China 5-2 Yuen Long — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division, 12 May 2024

📅12/05/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.0
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
28%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.38
Over 2.5
56%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.46
No
46%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
46%
+2.2pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.1pp
27%
Away Win
30%
-2.2pp
44%
Under 2.5
38%
+6.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
62%
-6.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
64%
-10.4pp
46%
BTTS No
36%
+10.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME South China EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Yuen Long EU Bookmakers 33%
-44% / -44% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
1.18/2.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.74/0.85
-28% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +94%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
321 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 0.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME South China
0W-4D-1L
AWAY Yuen Long
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
22.10.2023 Yuen Long Yuen Long 0-0 HT 0-0 South China South China HK2
12.02.2023 South China South China 1-1 HT 0-0 Yuen Long Yuen Long HK2
28.11.2021 South China South China 1-1 HT 0-1 Yuen Long Yuen Long HK2
02.05.2015 Yuen Long Yuen Long 1-0 HT 0-0 South China South China HK1
08.03.2014 Yuen Long Yuen Long 2-2 HT 1-2 South China South China HK1
POST-MATCH South China vs Yuen Long
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

South China cruised past Yuen Long 5-2. Half-time: 3-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had South China as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Yuen Long led the recent series with 1 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for South China and 1.00 for Yuen Long.

What was the final score of South China vs Yuen Long?

South China 5-2 Yuen Long in the Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for South China vs Yuen Long?

Before kick-off our model rated a South China win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split South China 48%, draw 24%, Yuen Long 27%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (South China), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (South China) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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