Wong Tai Sin 3-1 Hoi King — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division, 12 May 2024

📅12/05/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.25
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
37%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.51
Over 2.5
52%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.43
No
46%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
4%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
12%
2/2
17%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
40%
-2.0pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.1pp
36%
Away Win
36%
+1.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
36%
+11.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
64%
-11.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
66%
-12.1pp
46%
BTTS No
34%
+12.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wong Tai Sin EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Hoi King EU Bookmakers 39%
-27% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.44/2.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.39
-4% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / +0%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
378 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wong Tai Sin
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Hoi King
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
22.10.2023 Hoi King Hoi King 2-2 HT 0-0 Wong Tai Sin Wong Tai Sin HK2
19.02.2023 Wong Tai Sin Wong Tai Sin 0-4 HT 0-1 Hoi King Hoi King HK2
13.11.2022 Hoi King Hoi King 4-1 HT 3-1 Wong Tai Sin Wong Tai Sin HK2
21.11.2021 Hoi King Hoi King 2-0 HT 2-0 Wong Tai Sin Wong Tai Sin HK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wong Tai Sin
3-1
AWAY Hoi King
51% Ball Possession 49%
20 Total Shots 18
12 Shots on Target 9
6 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Wong Tai Sin vs Hoi King
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wong Tai Sin beat Hoi King 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 25% / 36%) promised a tight game; Wong Tai Sin found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Wong Tai Sin had 51% of the ball to Hoi King's 49%, shots finished 20-18.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Hoi King led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Wong Tai Sin and 3.00 for Hoi King.

What was the final score of Wong Tai Sin vs Hoi King?

Wong Tai Sin 3-1 Hoi King in the Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wong Tai Sin vs Hoi King?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wong Tai Sin win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Wong Tai Sin 38%, draw 25%, Hoi King 36%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wong Tai Sin), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Wong Tai Sin) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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