Dordrecht 4-0 Helmond Sport — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.76
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
29%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.43
Over 2.5
55%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.49
No
46%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.33
2-3 Goals
38%
1.99
4-5 Goals
28%
2.69
6+ Goals
13%
6.68
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.26
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.25
X/1
15%
4.52
X/2
10%
8.88
X/X
10%
6.02
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
20.4
2/2
13%
5.75
2/X
6%
13.6
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.4 — our 10% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
52%
-5.4pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.4pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+5.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
38%
+7.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
62%
-7.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
63%
-9.6pp
46%
BTTS No
37%
+9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dordrecht EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Helmond Sport EU Bookmakers 28%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -14%
2.08/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.28
+7% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -3%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
358 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 75%
29.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.7
22.4 Crosses 16.4
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dordrecht
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Helmond Sport
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.89 xG 0.86
52% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
352 Passes 344
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Box Touches 20
15 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 1
12.01.2024 Dordrecht Dordrecht 2-0 HT 1-0 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport HOL2
23.10.2023 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport 1-1 HT 1-0 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOL2
07.07.2023 Dordrecht Dordrecht 3-1 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport HAZ
26.03.2023 Dordrecht Dordrecht 0-0 HT 0-0 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport HOL2
16.09.2022 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport 2-1 HT 0-1 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOL2
07.01.2022 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport 1-2 HT 0-0 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dordrecht
4-0
AWAY Helmond Sport
1.57 xG 0.90
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 9
248 Passes 338
77% Pass Accuracy 81%
22 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 22
POST-MATCH Dordrecht vs Helmond Sport
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dordrecht cruised past Helmond Sport 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Dordrecht as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Dordrecht had 44% of the ball to Helmond Sport's 56%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 1.57 to 0.90.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dordrecht had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Dordrecht and 0.83 for Helmond Sport.

What was the final score of Dordrecht vs Helmond Sport?

Dordrecht 4-0 Helmond Sport in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dordrecht vs Helmond Sport?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dordrecht win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Dordrecht 47%, draw 24%, Helmond Sport 29%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dordrecht), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dordrecht) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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