Fortuna Sittard (K) 1-3 AZ (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.29
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
44%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.29
Over 2.5
60%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.56
No
51%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
16%
2/1
3%
2/2
29%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
27%
+5.6pp
24%
Draw
21%
+2.5pp
44%
Away Win
52%
-8.1pp
40%
Under 2.5
40%
+0.4pp
60%
Over 2.5
60%
-0.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
60%
-10.7pp
51%
BTTS No
40%
+10.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fortuna Sittard (K) EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY AZ (K) EU Bookmakers 56%
-36% / -36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / -61% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
302 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fortuna Sittard (K)
0W-0D-1L
AWAY AZ (K)
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
09.03.2024 Fortuna Sittard (K) Fortuna Sittard (K) 0-1 HT 0-0 AZ (K) AZ (K) HOLK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fortuna Sittard (K)
1-3
AWAY AZ (K)
38% Ball Possession 62%
12 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 8
0 Corners 7
224 Passes 436
67% Pass Accuracy 82%
11 Crosses 20
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Fortuna Sittard (K) vs AZ (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AZ (K) saw off Fortuna Sittard (K) 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

As we said in the preview, our model had AZ (K) as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Fortuna Sittard (K) had 38% of the ball to AZ (K)'s 62%, shots finished 12-15.

What was the final score of Fortuna Sittard (K) vs AZ (K)?

Fortuna Sittard (K) 1-3 AZ (K) in the Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fortuna Sittard (K) vs AZ (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an AZ (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Fortuna Sittard (K) 33%, draw 24%, AZ (K) 44%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AZ (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AZ (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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