JEF United (K) 1-0 Tokyo Verdy B. (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒05:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
5.91
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
55%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.86
Over 2.5
47%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.09
No
48%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
32%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Tokyo Verdy B. (K) win — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
14%
+7.3pp
24%
Draw
21%
+3.0pp
55%
Away Win
66%
-10.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
50%
+2.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
50%
-2.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
44%
+7.9pp
48%
BTTS No
56%
-7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME JEF United (K) EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Tokyo Verdy B. (K) EU Bookmakers 70%
+82% / +82% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.15/0.60
+139% / +94% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -14%
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
218 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 416 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 0.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME JEF United (K)
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Tokyo Verdy B. (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
33% Ball Possession 67%
2 Total Shots 23
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
18.05.2024 Tokyo Verdy B. (K) Tokyo Verdy B. (K) 2-1 HT 0-1 JEF United (K) JEF United (K) JWEL
POST-MATCH JEF United (K) vs Tokyo Verdy B. (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

JEF United (K) squeezed past Tokyo Verdy B. (K) 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Tokyo Verdy B. (K) at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

What was the final score of JEF United (K) vs Tokyo Verdy B. (K)?

JEF United (K) 1-0 Tokyo Verdy B. (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for JEF United (K) vs Tokyo Verdy B. (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tokyo Verdy B. (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split JEF United (K) 21%, draw 24%, Tokyo Verdy B. (K) 55%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Tokyo Verdy B. (K)), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tokyo Verdy B. (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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