Tokyo Verdy B. (K) 2-1 JEF United (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 18 May 2024

📅18/05/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.29
Draw
18%
4.95
Away
14%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.1
Over 2.5
52%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.16
No
61%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
48%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
3%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Tokyo Verdy B. (K) win — 68%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
73%
-4.6pp
18%
Draw
17%
+1.4pp
14%
Away Win
10%
+3.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.4pp
39%
BTTS Yes
42%
-3.5pp
61%
BTTS No
58%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tokyo Verdy B. (K) EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY JEF United (K) EU Bookmakers 14%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
2.63/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.35/2.00
+15% / -54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +10%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
447 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 217 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tokyo Verdy B. (K)
2-1
AWAY JEF United (K)
67% Ball Possession 33%
23 Total Shots 2
5 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Tokyo Verdy B. (K) vs JEF United (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tokyo Verdy B. (K) edged past JEF United (K) 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Tokyo Verdy B. (K) as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Tokyo Verdy B. (K) had 67% of the ball to JEF United (K)'s 33%, shots finished 23-2.

What was the final score of Tokyo Verdy B. (K) vs JEF United (K)?

Tokyo Verdy B. (K) 2-1 JEF United (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tokyo Verdy B. (K) vs JEF United (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tokyo Verdy B. (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Tokyo Verdy B. (K) 68%, draw 18%, JEF United (K) 14%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tokyo Verdy B. (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tokyo Verdy B. (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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