Albirex Niigata (K) 0-2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 18 May 2024

📅18/05/2024 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.33
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
28%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
Over 2.5
42%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
No
54%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
4%
X/X
13%
2/1
3%
2/2
20%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
39%
+4.6pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.2pp
28%
Away Win
33%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Albirex Niigata (K) EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) EU Bookmakers 37%
+39% / +39% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/1.01
+5% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +121% / -8%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
285 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Albirex Niigata (K)
0-2
AWAY Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
POST-MATCH Albirex Niigata (K) vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) saw off Albirex Niigata (K) 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Albirex Niigata (K) at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Albirex Niigata (K) had 50% of the ball to Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)'s 50%, shots finished 7-17.

What was the final score of Albirex Niigata (K) vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)?

Albirex Niigata (K) 0-2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Albirex Niigata (K) vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Albirex Niigata (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Albirex Niigata (K) 44%, draw 28%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) 28%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Albirex Niigata (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Albirex Niigata (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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