Al Ahli 3-2 Al Rayyan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Qatar - Yıldızlar Cup, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.64
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
29%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.38
Over 2.5
57%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.91
2-3 Goals
33%
1.94
4-5 Goals
29%
2.79
6+ Goals
13%
7.43
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
57%
-7.6pp
22%
Draw
22%
-0.1pp
29%
Away Win
21%
+7.7pp
43%
Under 2.5
38%
+5.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
62%
-5.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.1pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ahli EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Rayyan EU Bookmakers 25%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
2.52/1.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.02/2.48
+20% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +75% / -4%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
353 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 79%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
22.0 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ahli
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Al Rayyan
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.25 xG 1.53
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
248 Passes 402
80% Pass Accuracy 85%
16 Box Touches 28
14 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 1
26.10.2024 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan 2-2 HT 1-2 Al Ahli Al Ahli KAT
02.12.2023 Al Ahli Al Ahli 0-4 HT 0-1 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan KAT
13.02.2023 Al Ahli Al Ahli 0-4 HT 0-1 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan KAT
23.08.2022 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan 1-2 HT 0-1 Al Ahli Al Ahli KAT
23.01.2022 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan 1-1 HT 0-1 Al Ahli Al Ahli KAT
27.11.2021 Al Ahli Al Ahli 0-2 HT 0-1 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan KATYK
POST-MATCH Al Ahli vs Al Rayyan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahli squeezed past Al Rayyan 3-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Al Ahli as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Rayyan led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Al Ahli and 2.33 for Al Rayyan.

What was the final score of Al Ahli vs Al Rayyan?

Al Ahli 3-2 Al Rayyan in the Qatar - Yıldızlar Cup on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ahli vs Al Rayyan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ahli win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Al Ahli 49%, draw 22%, Al Rayyan 29%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ahli), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Ahli) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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