Atletico Bucaramanga 1-0 Fortaleza CEIF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.05
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
30%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.51
Over 2.5
34%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.13
No
63%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
45%
-3.0pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.6pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+4.6pp
66%
Under 2.5
62%
+3.1pp
34%
Over 2.5
38%
-3.1pp
37%
BTTS Yes
43%
-5.6pp
63%
BTTS No
57%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Bucaramanga EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Fortaleza CEIF EU Bookmakers 29%
+7% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
0.99/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/0.96
+4% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / +52%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
296 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 74%
15.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.7
15.2 Crosses 15.0
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.7
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Bucaramanga
1-0
AWAY Fortaleza CEIF
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 2
352 Passes 342
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
POST-MATCH Atletico Bucaramanga vs Fortaleza CEIF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Bucaramanga edged past Fortaleza CEIF 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Atletico Bucaramanga as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (63%) came in.

On the day, Atletico Bucaramanga had 52% of the ball to Fortaleza CEIF's 48%, shots finished 16-11.

What was the final score of Atletico Bucaramanga vs Fortaleza CEIF?

Atletico Bucaramanga 1-0 Fortaleza CEIF in the Colombia - Primera on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Bucaramanga vs Fortaleza CEIF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Bucaramanga win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Atletico Bucaramanga 42%, draw 28%, Fortaleza CEIF 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Bucaramanga), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Bucaramanga) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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