Patriotas Boyaca vs Deportes Tolima Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Patriotas Boyaca v Deportes Tolima — Team-Based Signals
Patriotas Boyaca vs Deportes Tolima Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
Deportes Tolima
KOL
1-2
HT 1-0
Patriotas Boyaca
KOL
0-0
HT 0-0
Deportes Tolima
KOL
3-1
HT 2-1
Patriotas Boyaca
KOL
1-0
HT 1-0
Patriotas Boyaca
KOL
Patriotas Boyaca 2-1 Deportes Tolima — Actual Match Statistics
Patriotas Boyaca squeezed past Deportes Tolima 2-1.
Our pre-match lean was Deportes Tolima at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Patriotas Boyaca had 48% of the ball to Deportes Tolima's 52%, shots finished 9-8.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportes Tolima led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Patriotas Boyaca and 1.33 for Deportes Tolima.
What was the final score of Patriotas Boyaca vs Deportes Tolima?
Patriotas Boyaca 2-1 Deportes Tolima in the Colombia - Primera on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Patriotas Boyaca vs Deportes Tolima?
Before kick-off our model rated an Deportes Tolima win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Patriotas Boyaca 29%, draw 29%, Deportes Tolima 42%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.