Deportes Tolima vs Patriotas Boyaca Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Deportes Tolima v Patriotas Boyaca — Team-Based Signals
Deportes Tolima vs Patriotas Boyaca Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
Deportes Tolima
KOL
1-2
HT 1-0
Patriotas Boyaca
KOL
0-0
HT 0-0
Deportes Tolima
KOL
3-1
HT 2-1
Patriotas Boyaca
KOL
1-0
HT 1-0
Patriotas Boyaca
KOL
2-1
HT 1-1
Patriotas Boyaca
KOL
Deportes Tolima 2-1 Patriotas Boyaca — Actual Match Statistics
Deportes Tolima nicked a narrow win over Patriotas Boyaca 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Deportes Tolima as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Deportes Tolima had 64% of the ball to Patriotas Boyaca's 36%, shots finished 15-13, expected goals 0.98 to 0.29.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportes Tolima had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Deportes Tolima and 0.83 for Patriotas Boyaca.
What was the final score of Deportes Tolima vs Patriotas Boyaca?
Deportes Tolima 2-1 Patriotas Boyaca in the Colombia - Primera on 22/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Deportes Tolima vs Patriotas Boyaca?
Before kick-off our model rated a Deportes Tolima win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Deportes Tolima 56%, draw 25%, Patriotas Boyaca 19%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportes Tolima) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.