Independiente Medellin vs Atletico Nacional Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Independiente Medellin v Atletico Nacional — Team-Based Signals
Independiente Medellin vs Atletico Nacional Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-5
HT 0-2
Independiente Medellin
KOL
2-1
HT 2-0
Atletico Nacional
KOL
1-2
HT 0-1
Independiente Medellin
KOL
1-0
HT 0-0
Atletico Nacional
KOL
1-3
HT 0-2
Atletico Nacional
KOL
1-1
HT 0-1
Independiente Medellin
KOL
Independiente Medellin 2-2 Atletico Nacional — Actual Match Statistics
Independiente Medellin and Atletico Nacional shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-2.
Our pre-match lean was Independiente Medellin at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Independiente Medellin had 50% of the ball to Atletico Nacional's 50%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 0.74 to 0.60.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Independiente Medellin had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Independiente Medellin and 1.00 for Atletico Nacional.
What was the final score of Independiente Medellin vs Atletico Nacional?
Independiente Medellin 2-2 Atletico Nacional in the Colombia - Primera on 22/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Independiente Medellin vs Atletico Nacional?
Before kick-off our model rated a Independiente Medellin win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Independiente Medellin 42%, draw 31%, Atletico Nacional 28%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.