Wisla Plock 2-2 Gornik Leczna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.8
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
30%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.82
Over 2.5
50%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.19
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.68
6+ Goals
10%
15.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.19 — our 26% vs market 25.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
51%
-9.1pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.1pp
30%
Away Win
23%
+7.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
51%
-1.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
49%
+1.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.4pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wisla Plock EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Gornik Leczna EU Bookmakers 27%
+4% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +24%
1.73/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.16
+6% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +28%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
374 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wisla Plock
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Gornik Leczna
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.42 xG 0.97
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
254 Passes 330
72% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Box Touches 24
13 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 3
11.03.2024 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock 2-1 HT 1-0 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna POL1
26.08.2023 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna 1-0 HT 1-0 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock POL1
06.03.2022 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock 3-1 HT 3-1 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna POL
13.09.2021 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna 3-2 HT 0-1 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock POL
28.06.2017 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock 1-0 HT 0-0 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna HAZ
06.05.2017 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna 2-3 HT 1-2 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wisla Plock
2-2
AWAY Gornik Leczna
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 17
8 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Wisla Plock vs Gornik Leczna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wisla Plock and Gornik Leczna shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Wisla Plock at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Wisla Plock had 53% of the ball to Gornik Leczna's 47%, shots finished 14-17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wisla Plock had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Wisla Plock and 1.33 for Gornik Leczna.

What was the final score of Wisla Plock vs Gornik Leczna?

Wisla Plock 2-2 Gornik Leczna in the Poland - 1st Division on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wisla Plock vs Gornik Leczna?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wisla Plock win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Wisla Plock 42%, draw 28%, Gornik Leczna 30%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Wisla Plock)
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