ND Primorje 1-3 Celje — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
5.4
Draw
29%
4.08
Away
49%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.95
Over 2.5
52%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.96
No
51%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.51
2-3 Goals
43%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
3.4
6+ Goals
10%
12.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
6%
X/2
19%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
24%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
15%
+7.1pp
29%
Draw
21%
+8.0pp
49%
Away Win
64%
-15.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.4pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ND Primorje EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Celje EU Bookmakers 69%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -12%
0.52/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.35/1.27
-48% / +92% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -31%
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
235 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 452 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ND Primorje
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Celje
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
35% Ball Possession 65%
9 Total Shots 23
6 Shots on Target 10
5 Corners 9
0 Yellow Cards 3
25.08.2024 Celje Celje 0-3 HT 0-3 ND Primorje ND Primorje SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ND Primorje
1-3
AWAY Celje
36% Ball Possession 64%
7 Total Shots 22
3 Shots on Target 11
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH ND Primorje vs Celje
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Celje beat ND Primorje 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Celje as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, ND Primorje had 36% of the ball to Celje's 64%, shots finished 7-22.

What was the final score of ND Primorje vs Celje?

ND Primorje 1-3 Celje in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ND Primorje vs Celje?

Before kick-off our model rated an Celje win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split ND Primorje 22%, draw 29%, Celje 49%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Celje), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Celje) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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