Celje 0-3 ND Primorje — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 25 Aug 2024

📅25/08/2024 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.42
Draw
22%
4.34
Away
26%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.15
Over 2.5
55%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.88
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.14
2-3 Goals
39%
1.86
4-5 Goals
25%
3.04
6+ Goals
12%
9.56
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
66%
-14.1pp
22%
Draw
20%
+2.5pp
26%
Away Win
14%
+11.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
43%
+2.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
57%
-2.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.0pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Celje EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY ND Primorje EU Bookmakers 17%
+7% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
1.90/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.99
-2% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / -14%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
420 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Celje
0-3
AWAY ND Primorje
65% Ball Possession 35%
23 Total Shots 9
10 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Celje vs ND Primorje
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ND Primorje ran out comfortable winners over Celje 3-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Celje at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Celje had 65% of the ball to ND Primorje's 35%, shots finished 23-9.

What was the final score of Celje vs ND Primorje?

Celje 0-3 ND Primorje in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Celje vs ND Primorje?

Before kick-off our model rated a Celje win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Celje 52%, draw 22%, ND Primorje 26%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Celje), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Celje) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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