Maribor 1-1 Olimpija Ljubljana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 25 Aug 2024

Maribor
1-1 HT 1-1
Olimpija Ljubljana
📅25/08/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Slovenia - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Maribor vs Olimpija Ljubljana Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.47
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
36%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.03
Over 2.5
49%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.6
No
50%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.89
2-3 Goals
39%
1.84
4-5 Goals
24%
3.16
6+ Goals
10%
10.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.89 — our 27% vs market 20.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
10%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+2.3pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.9pp
36%
Away Win
37%
-0.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
45%
+5.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
55%
-5.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.2pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Maribor v Olimpija Ljubljana — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maribor EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Olimpija Ljubljana EU Bookmakers 40%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +6%
1.54/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.56
+30% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -29%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
307 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 404 · 83%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.2

Maribor vs Olimpija Ljubljana Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maribor
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Olimpija Ljubljana
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
11.05.2024 Maribor Maribor 2-1 HT 1-0 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana SLVN
17.04.2024 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana 1-2 HT 1-0 Maribor Maribor SLVN
03.12.2023 Maribor Maribor 3-1 HT 3-0 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana SLVN
16.09.2023 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana 2-1 HT 1-0 Maribor Maribor SLVN
06.05.2023 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana 2-1 HT 0-0 Maribor Maribor SLVNK
19.02.2023 Maribor Maribor 2-0 HT 2-0 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana SLVN

Maribor 1-1 Olimpija Ljubljana — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maribor
1-1
AWAY Olimpija Ljubljana
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 3
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Maribor vs Olimpija Ljubljana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maribor and Olimpija Ljubljana shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match split (39% / 25% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Maribor had 42% of the ball to Olimpija Ljubljana's 58%, shots finished 8-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Maribor had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Maribor and 1.17 for Olimpija Ljubljana.

What was the final score of Maribor vs Olimpija Ljubljana?

Maribor 1-1 Olimpija Ljubljana in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maribor vs Olimpija Ljubljana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Maribor win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Maribor 39%, draw 25%, Olimpija Ljubljana 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Maribor) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Maribor) ✓ Under 2.5
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