Abha 3-3 Al Adalah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia - 1st Division, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒15:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.02
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
33%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
56%
1.75
Over 2.5
44%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
46%
-7.2pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.7pp
33%
Away Win
27%
+5.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
53%
+3.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
47%
-3.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.0pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Abha EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Adalah EU Bookmakers 31%
+40% / +40% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +5%
3.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.18
+123% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +7%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
330 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Abha
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Al Adalah
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.35 xG 1.22
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
320 Passes 264
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
02.05.2023 Abha Abha 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Adalah Al Adalah SUUD
25.12.2022 Al Adalah Al Adalah 0-2 HT 0-1 Abha Abha SUUD
21.02.2020 Abha Abha 2-2 HT 2-1 Al Adalah Al Adalah SUUD
20.09.2019 Al Adalah Al Adalah 2-1 HT 1-1 Abha Abha SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Abha
3-3
AWAY Al Adalah
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Abha vs Al Adalah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Abha and Al Adalah couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 29% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Abha had 40% of the ball to Al Adalah's 60%, shots finished 12-15.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Abha had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Abha and 1.00 for Al Adalah.

What was the final score of Abha vs Al Adalah?

Abha 3-3 Al Adalah in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Abha vs Al Adalah?

Before kick-off our model rated a Abha win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Abha 38%, draw 29%, Al Adalah 33%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Abha) ✗ Under 2.5
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