Al Jubail 1-2 Al Najma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia - 1st Division, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.75
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
46%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
56%
1.68
Over 2.5
44%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.95
No
53%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
18%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
24%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
23%
+7.1pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.5pp
46%
Away Win
50%
-4.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.1pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Jubail EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Najma EU Bookmakers 55%
-40% / -40% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +40% / +40%
0.50/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.00
-52% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% /
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
258 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 3.0
POST-MATCH Al Jubail vs Al Najma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Najma squeezed past Al Jubail 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Najma as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Al Jubail vs Al Najma?

Al Jubail 1-2 Al Najma in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Jubail vs Al Najma?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Najma win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Al Jubail 30%, draw 24%, Al Najma 46%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Najma) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Najma) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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