Serik Belediyespor 2-1 Nazilli Belediyespor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.18
Draw
20%
5.71
Away
17%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.38
Over 2.5
52%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.29
No
52%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
50%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
80%
-16.7pp
20%
Draw
14%
+6.0pp
17%
Away Win
6%
+10.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
38%
+9.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
62%
-9.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
40%
+8.6pp
52%
BTTS No
60%
-8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Serik Belediyespor EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Nazilli Belediyespor EU Bookmakers 9%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.76/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.44/2.16
-15% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / -12%
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
514 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Serik Belediyespor
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Nazilli Belediyespor
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 4
07.10.2023 Serik Belediyespor 1-1 HT 1-0 Nazilli Belediyespor Nazilli Belediyespor S2-B
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Serik Belediyespor
2-1
AWAY Nazilli Belediyespor
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Serik Belediyespor vs Nazilli Belediyespor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Serik Belediyespor squeezed past Nazilli Belediyespor 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Serik Belediyespor as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Serik Belediyespor had 55% of the ball to Nazilli Belediyespor's 45%, shots finished 17-11.

What was the final score of Serik Belediyespor vs Nazilli Belediyespor?

Serik Belediyespor 2-1 Nazilli Belediyespor in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Serik Belediyespor vs Nazilli Belediyespor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Serik Belediyespor win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Serik Belediyespor 63%, draw 20%, Nazilli Belediyespor 17%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Serik Belediyespor), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Serik Belediyespor) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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