OFI 2-2 Kallithea — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.8
Draw
33%
3.45
Away
22%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.78
Over 2.5
43%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.04
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.84
6+ Goals
8%
16.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.04 — our 30% vs market 27.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.44
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.55
X/1
16%
4.06
X/2
7%
8.21
X/X
17%
4.66
2/1
7%
25.5
2/2
8%
6.52
2/X
7%
15.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
52%
-6.5pp
33%
Draw
26%
+7.0pp
22%
Away Win
23%
-0.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.2pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME OFI EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Kallithea EU Bookmakers 26%
-14% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +3%
1.36/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.21/1.01
-7% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -52% / +143%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
333 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 79%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.1
21.3 Crosses 17.1
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME OFI
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Kallithea
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
27.11.2005 OFI OFI 0-0 HT 0-0 Kallithea Kallithea YUN
05.03.2005 OFI OFI 1-1 HT 0-0 Kallithea Kallithea YUN
31.10.2004 Kallithea Kallithea 3-1 HT 2-0 OFI OFI YUN
07.12.2003 Kallithea Kallithea 1-2 HT 0-0 OFI OFI YUN
19.01.2003 OFI OFI 2-1 HT 1-0 Kallithea Kallithea YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME OFI
2-2
AWAY Kallithea
1.28 xG 3.05
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 20
6 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 7
287 Passes 338
81% Pass Accuracy 81%
15 Box Touches 34
14 Crosses 33
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH OFI vs Kallithea
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

OFI and Kallithea couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was OFI at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, OFI had 45% of the ball to Kallithea's 55%, shots finished 12-20, expected goals 1.28 to 3.05.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, OFI had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for OFI and 1.20 for Kallithea.

What was the final score of OFI vs Kallithea?

OFI 2-2 Kallithea in the Greece - Super League on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for OFI vs Kallithea?

Before kick-off our model rated a OFI win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split OFI 45%, draw 33%, Kallithea 22%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (OFI) ✗ Under 2.5
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