Auckland City vs Wellington Phoenix Res Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Auckland City v Wellington Phoenix Res — Team-Based Signals
Auckland City vs Wellington Phoenix Res Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Auckland City
YZLBÖL
2-0
HT 1-0
Wellington Phoenix Res
YZLBÖL
1-1
HT 0-0
Auckland City
YZLD
4-1
HT 0-1
Wellington Phoenix Res
YZLD
3-2
HT 2-0
Wellington Phoenix Res
YZLD
0-3
HT 0-1
Auckland City
YZLD
Auckland City 3-4 Wellington Phoenix Res — Actual Match Statistics
Wellington Phoenix Res nicked a narrow win over Auckland City 4-3 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Auckland City at 73% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (66%) came in.
On the day, Auckland City had 65% of the ball to Wellington Phoenix Res's 35%, shots finished 30-14.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Auckland City had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Auckland City and 0.67 for Wellington Phoenix Res.
What was the final score of Auckland City vs Wellington Phoenix Res?
Auckland City 3-4 Wellington Phoenix Res in the New Zealand - Bölgesel on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Auckland City vs Wellington Phoenix Res?
Before kick-off our model rated a Auckland City win the most likely single outcome at about 73%, with the full match-result split Auckland City 73%, draw 15%, Wellington Phoenix Res 13%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Auckland City) went the other way.