Coastal Spirit 1-3 Napier — Result, Statistics & Match Review — New Zealand - Bölgesel, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.18
Draw
31%
3.8
Away
34%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under
34%
3.59
Over Pick
66%
1.26
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%
1.29
No
35%
3.23
Total Goals
0-1
16%
2-3
34%
4-5
34%
6+
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
4%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
22%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 66%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
42%
-7.0pp
31%
Draw
23%
+8.1pp
34%
Away Win
35%
-1.0pp
34%
Under 2.5
24%
+9.5pp
66%
Over 2.5
76%
-9.5pp
65%
BTTS Yes
73%
-8.0pp
35%
BTTS No
27%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Coastal Spirit EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Napier EU Bookmakers 39%
+40% / +40% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
5.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/2.35
+113% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
336 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Coastal Spirit vs Napier
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Napier got the better of Coastal Spirit 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (35% / 31% / 34%) promised a tight game; Napier found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (65%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Coastal Spirit vs Napier?

Coastal Spirit 1-3 Napier in the New Zealand - Bölgesel on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Coastal Spirit vs Napier?

Before kick-off our model rated a Coastal Spirit win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Coastal Spirit 35%, draw 31%, Napier 34%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Coastal Spirit) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Coastal Spirit) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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