Fakel 3-2 Spartak Kostroma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 10 Nov 2025

Fakel
3 - 2 HT 1 - 0
Spartak Kostroma
📅10/11/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Russia - FNL – 2025/2026

Fakel vs Spartak Kostroma Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.96
Draw
31%
3.02
Away
20%
3.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
63%
1.55
Over
37%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.21
No
56%
1.59
Total Goals
0-1
37%
2-3
46%
4-5
15%
6+
2%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
1%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
21%
2/1
2%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.

Fakel v Spartak Kostroma — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Fakel The Market 51%
Signal
AWAY Spartak Kostroma The Market 27%
Great Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Great
1.75 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.05
0.57 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.27
Great Attack Strength Great
Great Defense Strength Strong
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
261 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2 Yellow Cards 2

Fakel vs Spartak Kostroma Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fakel
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Spartak Kostroma
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
The Meetings
20.07.2025 Spartak Kostroma Spartak Kostroma 0-1 HT 0-0 Fakel Fakel RUS1

Fakel 3-2 Spartak Kostroma — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fakel
3 - 2
AWAY Spartak Kostroma
66% Ball Possession 34%
10 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Fakel vs Spartak Kostroma
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Fakel squeezed past Spartak Kostroma 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. A 5-goal game — the defences never settled.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Fakel as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, possession split 66% to 34% in Fakel's favour, shots finished 10-7.

Fakel vs Spartak Kostroma Result & Final Score

Fakel 3 - 2 Spartak Kostroma in the Russia - FNL on 10/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Fakel vs Spartak Kostroma Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Fakel win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Fakel 49%, draw 31%, Spartak Kostroma 20%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fakel) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fakel) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
RUS1 More Russia - FNL
10 Nov 2025
16:00 Chelyabinsk vs FK Ufa Analysis →