Spartak Kostroma 0-1 Fakel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 20 Jul 2025

📅20/07/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.8
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
35%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.56
Over 2.5
45%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.99
No
50%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
22%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+0.3pp
33%
Draw
29%
+3.7pp
35%
Away Win
39%
-4.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
60%
-4.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
40%
+4.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
46%
+3.8pp
50%
BTTS No
54%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spartak Kostroma EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Fakel EU Bookmakers 43%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +2%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +53% / -18%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
292 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
POST-MATCH Spartak Kostroma vs Fakel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fakel edged past Spartak Kostroma 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 33% / 35% — and on the day Fakel made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

What was the final score of Spartak Kostroma vs Fakel?

Spartak Kostroma 0-1 Fakel in the Russia - FNL on 20/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spartak Kostroma vs Fakel?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fakel win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Spartak Kostroma 33%, draw 33%, Fakel 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fakel), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fakel) ✓ Under 2.5
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