Torpedo Moscow 2-3 Chelyabinsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 20 Jul 2025

📅20/07/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.61
Draw
31%
3.64
Away
21%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.64
Over 2.5
38%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.16
No
60%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
10%
2/2
7%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
58%
-9.8pp
31%
Draw
24%
+6.5pp
21%
Away Win
18%
+3.3pp
62%
Under 2.5
57%
+5.1pp
38%
Over 2.5
43%
-5.1pp
40%
BTTS Yes
42%
-2.3pp
60%
BTTS No
58%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Torpedo Moscow EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Chelyabinsk EU Bookmakers 21%
-8% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-15% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
389 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 213 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Torpedo Moscow
2-3
AWAY Chelyabinsk
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Torpedo Moscow vs Chelyabinsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chelyabinsk squeezed past Torpedo Moscow 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Torpedo Moscow at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Torpedo Moscow had 58% of the ball to Chelyabinsk's 42%, shots finished 10-9.

What was the final score of Torpedo Moscow vs Chelyabinsk?

Torpedo Moscow 2-3 Chelyabinsk in the Russia - FNL on 20/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Torpedo Moscow vs Chelyabinsk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Torpedo Moscow win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Torpedo Moscow 48%, draw 31%, Chelyabinsk 21%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Torpedo Moscow) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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