Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 0-3 Chayka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 20 Jul 2025

📅20/07/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.57
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
23%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.68
Over 2.5
44%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.16
No
59%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
60%
-7.5pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.2pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+6.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.3pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-0.7pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yenisey Krasnoyarsk EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Chayka EU Bookmakers 19%
+7% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +7%
1.65/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.46
+0% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +4%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
347 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yenisey Krasnoyarsk
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Chayka
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
19.04.2025 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 0-0 HT 0-0 Chayka Chayka RUS1
25.08.2024 Chayka Chayka 2-0 HT 1-0 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk RUS1
11.04.2021 Chayka Chayka 0-1 HT 0-0 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk RUS1
17.10.2020 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 3-2 HT 2-1 Chayka Chayka RUS1
31.08.2019 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 1-3 HT 1-0 Chayka Chayka RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yenisey Krasnoyarsk
0-3
AWAY Chayka
64% Ball Possession 36%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Yenisey Krasnoyarsk vs Chayka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chayka cruised past Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Yenisey Krasnoyarsk at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, no to both teams scoring (59%) landed while under 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, Yenisey Krasnoyarsk had 64% of the ball to Chayka's 36%, shots finished 13-9.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Yenisey Krasnoyarsk and 1.40 for Chayka.

What was the final score of Yenisey Krasnoyarsk vs Chayka?

Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 0-3 Chayka in the Russia - FNL on 20/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yenisey Krasnoyarsk vs Chayka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yenisey Krasnoyarsk win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 52%, draw 25%, Chayka 23%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Yenisey Krasnoyarsk), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Yenisey Krasnoyarsk) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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