Spokane Velocity 2-2 Portland Hearts of Pine — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 10 Nov 2025

📅10/11/2025 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.0
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
33%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.9
Over 2.5
47%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.7
No
47%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
18%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
12%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
46%
-5.9pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.3pp
33%
Away Win
27%
+5.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
49%
+4.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
51%
-4.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.2pp
47%
BTTS No
45%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spokane Velocity EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Portland Hearts of Pine EU Bookmakers 31%
-3% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.97/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.09
-7% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +36%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
352 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 76%
26.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
20.1 Crosses 16.9
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spokane Velocity
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Portland Hearts of Pine
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
1.15 xG 1.16
64% Ball Possession 36%
14 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 3
466 Passes 231
86% Pass Accuracy 73%
26 Box Touches 12
24 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
22.10.2025 Portland Hearts of Pine 6-1 HT 4-1 Spokane Velocity Spokane Velocity USL1
06.04.2025 Spokane Velocity Spokane Velocity 0-0 HT 0-0 Portland Hearts of Pine USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Spokane Velocity
2-2
AWAY Portland Hearts of Pine
2.77 xG 0.66
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
483 Passes 360
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
34 Box Touches 18
36 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Spokane Velocity vs Portland Hearts of Pine
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spokane Velocity and Portland Hearts of Pine couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 27% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Spokane Velocity had 56% of the ball to Portland Hearts of Pine's 44%, shots finished 17-10, expected goals 2.77 to 0.66.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Portland Hearts of Pine led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Spokane Velocity and 3.00 for Portland Hearts of Pine.

What was the final score of Spokane Velocity vs Portland Hearts of Pine?

Spokane Velocity 2-2 Portland Hearts of Pine in the USA - USL League 1 on 10/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spokane Velocity vs Portland Hearts of Pine?

Before kick-off our model rated a Spokane Velocity win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Spokane Velocity 40%, draw 27%, Portland Hearts of Pine 33%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Spokane Velocity), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Spokane Velocity) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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