Spartans 1-3 Stranraer — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 2nd Division, 10 Dec 2024

Spartans
1-3 HT 1-2
Stranraer
📅10/12/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Scotland - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Spartans vs Stranraer Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.8
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
31%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.75
Over 2.5
48%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.88
No
54%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.82
2-3 Goals
40%
1.71
4-5 Goals
20%
3.72
6+ Goals
8%
16.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.82 — our 32% vs market 28.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
52%
-7.1pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.8pp
31%
Away Win
23%
+8.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
53%
-1.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
47%
+1.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.9pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Spartans v Stranraer — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spartans EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Stranraer EU Bookmakers 26%
-3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -21%
1.41/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.80
-16% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -23%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
168 · 91% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 135 · 90%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses 3.0
– Yellow Cards 2.0

Spartans vs Stranraer Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spartans
3W-2D-0L
AWAY Stranraer
2.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
The Meetings
03.08.2024 Stranraer Stranraer 2-2 HT 2-0 Spartans Spartans İK2
13.04.2024 Spartans Spartans 0-0 HT 0-0 Stranraer Stranraer İK2
17.02.2024 Stranraer Stranraer 1-2 HT 1-0 Spartans Spartans İK2
23.12.2023 Spartans Spartans 3-0 HT 1-0 Stranraer Stranraer İK2
07.10.2023 Stranraer Stranraer 3-4 HT 1-2 Spartans Spartans İK2
POST-MATCH Spartans vs Stranraer
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stranraer got the better of Spartans 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was Spartans at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Spartans had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.20 goals for Spartans and 1.20 for Stranraer.

What was the final score of Spartans vs Stranraer?

Spartans 1-3 Stranraer in the Scotland - 2nd Division on 10/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spartans vs Stranraer?

Before kick-off our model rated a Spartans win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Spartans 44%, draw 25%, Stranraer 31%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Spartans) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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