Stranraer 2-2 Spartans — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 2nd Division, 3 Aug 2024

📅03/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.29
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
38%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.8
Over 2.5
37%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.81
No
58%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.1
2-3 Goals
47%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
3.77
6+ Goals
7%
16.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.1 — our 29% vs market 26.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
16%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
27%
+7.9pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.0pp
38%
Away Win
47%
-8.9pp
63%
Under 2.5
52%
+11.3pp
37%
Over 2.5
48%
-11.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
51%
-9.3pp
58%
BTTS No
49%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stranraer EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Spartans EU Bookmakers 50%
+12% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +25%
1.82/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/0.96
+65% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +20%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
279 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 387 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stranraer
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Spartans
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.25
13.04.2024 Spartans Spartans 0-0 HT 0-0 Stranraer Stranraer İK2
17.02.2024 Stranraer Stranraer 1-2 HT 1-0 Spartans Spartans İK2
23.12.2023 Spartans Spartans 3-0 HT 1-0 Stranraer Stranraer İK2
07.10.2023 Stranraer Stranraer 3-4 HT 1-2 Spartans Spartans İK2
POST-MATCH Stranraer vs Spartans
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stranraer and Spartans shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 27% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Spartans led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Stranraer and 2.25 for Spartans.

What was the final score of Stranraer vs Spartans?

Stranraer 2-2 Spartans in the Scotland - 2nd Division on 03/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stranraer vs Spartans?

Before kick-off our model rated an Spartans win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Stranraer 35%, draw 27%, Spartans 38%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Spartans) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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