Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 0-1 Peterhead — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 2nd Division, 3 Aug 2024

📅03/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.47
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
37%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.86
Over 2.5
46%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.7
No
51%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
3.24
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.63
6+ Goals
8%
14.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.24 — our 31% vs market 25.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
37%
-2.0pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.4pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+0.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
55%
-5.8pp
51%
BTTS No
45%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Peterhead EU Bookmakers 40%
-11% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.15/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/1.58
-12% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -20%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
239 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
0W-3D-1L
AWAY Peterhead
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
06.04.2024 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 2-2 HT 1-0 Peterhead Peterhead İK2
20.02.2024 Peterhead Peterhead 0-0 HT 0-0 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic İK2
09.12.2023 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 1-1 HT 1-0 Peterhead Peterhead İK2
16.09.2023 Peterhead Peterhead 2-1 HT 0-0 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic İK2
POST-MATCH Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic vs Peterhead
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Peterhead squeezed past Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (35% / 29% / 37%) promised a tight game; Peterhead found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Peterhead led the recent series with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic and 1.25 for Peterhead.

What was the final score of Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic vs Peterhead?

Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 0-1 Peterhead in the Scotland - 2nd Division on 03/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic vs Peterhead?

Before kick-off our model rated an Peterhead win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 35%, draw 29%, Peterhead 37%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Peterhead), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Peterhead) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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