Elgin City 4-2 East Fife — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 2nd Division, 3 Aug 2024

📅03/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.17
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
37%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.75
Over 2.5
43%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.97
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
3.93
6+ Goals
9%
17.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.97 — our 31% vs market 27.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
28%
+6.7pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.9pp
37%
Away Win
46%
-8.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
53%
+3.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
47%
-3.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.4pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Elgin City EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY East Fife EU Bookmakers 49%
+4% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -21%
1.36/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/1.03
+6% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -53% / +12%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
328 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Elgin City
1W-1D-4L
AWAY East Fife
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
30.03.2024 East Fife East Fife 2-0 HT 1-0 Elgin City Elgin City İK2
03.02.2024 Elgin City Elgin City 1-0 HT 1-0 East Fife East Fife İK2
09.12.2023 East Fife East Fife 4-0 HT 2-0 Elgin City Elgin City İK2
26.08.2023 Elgin City Elgin City 1-1 HT 1-0 East Fife East Fife İK2
18.07.2023 East Fife East Fife 3-1 HT 2-0 Elgin City Elgin City İKLK
24.03.2023 East Fife East Fife 2-0 HT 1-0 Elgin City Elgin City İK2
POST-MATCH Elgin City vs East Fife
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Elgin City saw off East Fife 4-2. Half-time: 2-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 28% / 37% — and on the day Elgin City made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, East Fife led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Elgin City and 2.00 for East Fife.

What was the final score of Elgin City vs East Fife?

Elgin City 4-2 East Fife in the Scotland - 2nd Division on 03/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Elgin City vs East Fife?

Before kick-off our model rated an East Fife win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Elgin City 35%, draw 28%, East Fife 37%. The final score 4-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (East Fife) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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