Pas de la Casa 1-2 UE Santa Coloma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Andorra - 1st Division, 10 Dec 2024

📅10/12/2024 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
4.65
Draw
20%
3.72
Away
60%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.86
Over 2.5
50%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.9
No
59%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
37%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
18%
+1.8pp
20%
Draw
24%
-3.4pp
59%
Away Win
58%
+1.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
50%
-0.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
50%
+0.2pp
41%
BTTS Yes
49%
-8.0pp
59%
BTTS No
51%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pas de la Casa EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY UE Santa Coloma EU Bookmakers 62%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
0.78/0.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.86/0.96
-50% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -26%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
271 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 398 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pas de la Casa
0W-2D-1L
AWAY UE Santa Coloma
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 3
6 Yellow Cards 3
28.09.2024 Pas de la Casa 2-2 HT 1-2 UE Santa Coloma UE Santa Coloma AND
11.02.2024 UE Santa Coloma UE Santa Coloma 0-0 HT 0-0 Pas de la Casa AND
29.10.2023 Pas de la Casa 1-5 HT 1-2 UE Santa Coloma UE Santa Coloma AND
POST-MATCH Pas de la Casa vs UE Santa Coloma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UE Santa Coloma nicked a narrow win over Pas de la Casa 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had UE Santa Coloma as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, UE Santa Coloma led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Pas de la Casa and 2.33 for UE Santa Coloma.

What was the final score of Pas de la Casa vs UE Santa Coloma?

Pas de la Casa 1-2 UE Santa Coloma in the Andorra - 1st Division on 10/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pas de la Casa vs UE Santa Coloma?

Before kick-off our model rated an UE Santa Coloma win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Pas de la Casa 20%, draw 20%, UE Santa Coloma 59%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (UE Santa Coloma) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (UE Santa Coloma) ✗ BTTS No
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